Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.003081 0.003371 0.003681 0.004035 0.004432 0.004862 0.005366
2025-12-28 0.002564 0.002967 0.003427 0.003993 0.004674 0.005472 0.006486
2026-01-04 0.002294 0.002757 0.003309 0.004023 0.004928 0.006050 0.007564
2026-01-11 0.002064 0.002554 0.003159 0.003971 0.005047 0.006442 0.008420
2026-01-18 0.001890 0.002397 0.003042 0.003936 0.005164 0.006822 0.009281
2026-01-25 0.001742 0.002256 0.002927 0.003886 0.005245 0.007145 0.010082
2026-02-01 0.001638 0.002162 0.002864 0.003894 0.005399 0.007576 0.011074
2026-02-08 0.001529 0.002053 0.002769 0.003845 0.005460 0.007869 0.011878
2026-02-15 0.001426 0.001944 0.002666 0.003772 0.005476 0.008088 0.012582
2026-02-22 0.001362 0.001885 0.002628 0.003792 0.005629 0.008528 0.013689
2026-03-01 0.001325 0.001862 0.002639 0.003883 0.005898 0.009175 0.015223
2026-03-08 0.001252 0.001781 0.002559 0.003826 0.005923 0.009416 0.016060
2026-03-15 0.001175 0.001692 0.002464 0.003746 0.005912 0.009615 0.016880
2026-03-22 0.001113 0.001623 0.002397 0.003706 0.005970 0.009942 0.017997
2026-03-29 0.001072 0.001584 0.002373 0.003734 0.006143 0.010490 0.019622
2026-04-05 0.001018 0.001521 0.002308 0.003687 0.006178 0.010785 0.020768
2026-04-12 0.000972 0.001468 0.002254 0.003655 0.006236 0.011126 0.022056
2026-04-19 0.000927 0.001413 0.002195 0.003608 0.006263 0.011407 0.023250
2026-04-26 0.000895 0.001379 0.002167 0.003616 0.006391 0.011901 0.025001
2026-05-03 0.000856 0.001331 0.002113 0.003571 0.006412 0.012178 0.026281
2026-05-10 0.000816 0.001279 0.002050 0.003505 0.006387 0.012352 0.027335
2026-05-17 0.000792 0.001254 0.002032 0.003522 0.006530 0.012903 0.029425
2026-05-24 0.000781 0.001249 0.002048 0.003606 0.006815 0.013799 0.032570